Saturday, October 18, 2014

Donaire's the Betting Underdog?

Donaire's the underdog against the Jamaican Walters tonight. I was surprised at seeing that headline on a site that covers boxing.  I don't have it handy to show you, but you could find it if you care.  That's like saying history is the hardest thing to predict.  You're supposed to laugh now.

The odds makers in Reno and Vegas are thinking of Donaire's recent fight against Guillermo Rigondeaux. You can catch that on YouTube if you didn't see it.  I had picked Donaire to win and was disappointed that he appeared sluggish throughout the fight, and was frankly outfoxed by the smooth and methodical boxing skills (and power shots) of Rigondeaux.

So the betting line is based on that fight, and on the premise that the same guy who fought Rigondeaux will show up tonight, and that his skills have deteriorated with age.  I don't see that happening.

Walters doesn't have the experience, even with his impressive record, and I'm looking for the old Donaire to reappear tonight, the hungry Donaire who wants his rep back.  Agree?  Disagree?

Meanwhile, the top of the bill features GGG versus Marco Rubio and that should be a banger.  Two missiles colliding in flight.  A KO extravaganza.  I can't see that one going past the 5th round, or in extenuating circumstances, the 6th. Who ends up on the floor is open to debate but my guess is that Rubio gets stopped.  I don't say he hits the deck and, frankly, I think GGG is more likely to go down than Rubio is.  But it's the finish that counts, and there I see GGG taking the win.


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